Research replication
Making transition investable
Open the exact fictional inputs behind each worked study. Project cases use their companion model; auxiliary cash bridges retain a separate, verifiable calculation.
Return to the paper↗These are illustrative scenarios, not actual project or supplier data. Inputs and method boundaries govern each result.
Illustrative study
An annual electricity package
Establish a physical and economic reference for efficiency followed by supplied renewable energy.
What changes
- Case: Canonical selected sensitivity
- Changes: Reference supplied assumptions
- Held constant: All fields not explicitly changed; the canonical app also applies its declared common price multipliers and lower-factor diagnostic.
- Probability: No probability or empirical confidence is assigned.
Limits of the study
- Annual electricity boundary only; no fuel-switch credit, hourly matching or certified inventory.
- All quantities are authored illustrative inputs and conditional canonical results, not actual industrial evidence.
Open this case in the model↗Illustrative study
Efficiency without supply substitution
Isolate a reduction in electricity requirement with the service and evidence assumptions stated separately.
What changes
- Case: Canonical selected sensitivity
- Changes: Remove supply substitution; retain common prices and factors
- Held constant: All fields not explicitly changed; the canonical app also applies its declared common price multipliers and lower-factor diagnostic.
- Probability: No probability or empirical confidence is assigned.
Limits of the study
- The supplied percentage is an assumption, not a measured technical efficiency or rebound estimate.
- All quantities are authored illustrative inputs and conditional canonical results, not actual industrial evidence.
Open this case in the model↗Illustrative study
Added demand without an avoided-fuel credit
Demonstrate that additional electricity demand is an added requirement inside this boundary.
What changes
- Case: Canonical selected sensitivity
- Changes: Add electricity demand while retaining the electricity accounting factors
- Held constant: All fields not explicitly changed; the canonical app also applies its declared common price multipliers and lower-factor diagnostic.
- Probability: No probability or empirical confidence is assigned.
Limits of the study
- No baseline fuel, useful-heat balance or process emissions is supplied, so no total electrification benefit can be inferred.
- All quantities are authored illustrative inputs and conditional canonical results, not actual industrial evidence.
Open this case in the model↗Illustrative study
A lower supplied grid factor
Hold the package and economics fixed while changing the supplied grid factor.
What changes
- Case: Canonical selected sensitivity
- Changes: Change the grid factor; retain every cost, demand and measure input
- Held constant: All fields not explicitly changed; the canonical app also applies its declared common price multipliers and lower-factor diagnostic.
- Probability: No probability or empirical confidence is assigned.
Limits of the study
- The factor is illustrative; it is not a regional grid forecast or a market-based instrument claim.
- All quantities are authored illustrative inputs and conditional canonical results, not actual industrial evidence.
Open this case in the model↗Illustrative study
Adverse relative energy prices
Test physical abatement beside less favourable grid and renewable price assumptions.
What changes
- Case: Canonical selected sensitivity
- Changes: Change only the supplied grid and renewable prices
- Held constant: All fields not explicitly changed; the canonical app also applies its declared common price multipliers and lower-factor diagnostic.
- Probability: No probability or empirical confidence is assigned.
Limits of the study
- Flat energy prices omit demand charges, hourly tariffs, tax and contract details.
- All quantities are authored illustrative inputs and conditional canonical results, not actual industrial evidence.
Open this case in the model↗Illustrative study
Financial substitution with no factor difference
Expose the unavailable cost-per-tonne denominator when equal factors and unchanged demand create no modelled abatement.
What changes
- Case: Canonical selected sensitivity
- Changes: Supply equal emissions factors while changing the electricity split
- Held constant: All fields not explicitly changed; the canonical app also applies its declared common price multipliers and lower-factor diagnostic.
- Probability: No probability or empirical confidence is assigned.
Limits of the study
- Positive financial savings do not establish emissions reduction; null is unavailable rather than zero cost per tonne.
- All quantities are authored illustrative inputs and conditional canonical results, not actual industrial evidence.
Open this case in the model↗Illustrative study
Demand addition and sequential efficiency
Compare an added demand followed by a proportional reduction with the engine reversed-order diagnostic.
What changes
- Case: Canonical selected sensitivity
- Changes: Retain all measures and inspect supplied versus reversed order
- Held constant: All fields not explicitly changed; the canonical app also applies its declared common price multipliers and lower-factor diagnostic.
- Probability: No probability or empirical confidence is assigned.
Limits of the study
- The sequence is a mathematical operating assumption, not a commissioning schedule or proof that every added load can be reduced.
- All quantities are authored illustrative inputs and conditional canonical results, not actual industrial evidence.
Open this case in the model↗Illustrative study
Annual supply above demand
Demonstrate the annual balance cap and uncredited excess supplied energy.
What changes
- Case: Canonical selected sensitivity
- Changes: Supply renewable energy above annual demand
- Held constant: All fields not explicitly changed; the canonical app also applies its declared common price multipliers and lower-factor diagnostic.
- Probability: No probability or empirical confidence is assigned.
Limits of the study
- Annual adequacy does not establish hourly availability, storage or contractual matching; no export credit is supplied.
- All quantities are authored illustrative inputs and conditional canonical results, not actual industrial evidence.
Open this case in the model↗Illustrative study
Overlapping measures, efficiency first
Compare full incremental attribution against the supply-first fixture while retaining final package inputs.
What changes
- Case: Canonical selected sensitivity
- Changes: Change only execution order relative to overlap-supply-first
- Held constant: All fields not explicitly changed; the canonical app also applies its declared common price multipliers and lower-factor diagnostic.
- Probability: No probability or empirical confidence is assigned.
Limits of the study
- Marginal attribution depends on order; no autonomous cost-ranked optimisation is performed.
- All quantities are authored illustrative inputs and conditional canonical results, not actual industrial evidence.
Open this case in the model↗Illustrative study
Overlapping measures, supply first
Show how a common final annual package can allocate incremental reductions differently after curtailment becomes relevant.
What changes
- Case: Canonical selected sensitivity
- Changes: Change only execution order relative to overlap-efficiency-first
- Held constant: All fields not explicitly changed; the canonical app also applies its declared common price multipliers and lower-factor diagnostic.
- Probability: No probability or empirical confidence is assigned.
Limits of the study
- The same final package does not make each standalone increment additive or independent.
- All quantities are authored illustrative inputs and conditional canonical results, not actual industrial evidence.
Open this case in the model↗Illustrative study
A strictly positive small abatement denominator
Keep a mathematically positive denominator defined while separating it from meaningful measurable abatement.
What changes
- Change: Rescale annual demand while retaining factor and efficiency.
- Held constant: Zero investment, zero continuing expenditure and one-year zero-rate convention.
- Interpretation: The positive denominator remains defined; that does not show the reduction is detectable or eligible for a claim.
Limits of the study
- The tiny annual demand and factor are deliberately artificial arithmetic probes.
- Physical balances use canonical decimal inputs before rounding. The discount annuity and displayed ratios remain numerical approximations. No measurement accuracy, emissions certification or reporting materiality is implied.
Open this case in the model↗